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Cash Flow Management for Manufacturers

By Newtown Analytics · · 7 min read

For ops, supply chain & planning leaders

Cash flow management for manufacturers is difficult because cash goes out at the start of a long chain and comes back at the end. You buy raw materials, pay labor and overhead through production, hold finished goods and then wait for customers to pay. At each step the money is committed but not yet recovered. A plant can be profitable and busy and still be starved of cash. This guide covers the cash cycle of a manufacturer, how to measure the three kinds of inventory, how minimum order quantities and lead times affect cash, and how to plan and finance production. It extends cash flow management and is closely tied to working capital management.

The manufacturing cash chain

StageCash effect
Raw material purchasesPaid on supplier terms or in advance; long lead times mean early commitments
Work in process (WIP)Labor and overhead added while product is being made
Finished goodsStock waiting for orders or shipment
Customer invoicesReceivables outstanding on terms
Equipment and toolingCapital spending, often lumpy
Maintenance, energy and consumablesOperating costs that continue regardless of sales
Customer depositsCash received before production (when negotiated)

The longer the production cycle, the more cash is tied up. Reducing the time from raw material purchase to customer payment is the most direct way to release cash without cutting costs.

A worked working capital example

A hypothetical manufacturer has annual revenue of $12,000,000 and cost of goods sold of $8,400,000 (70 percent of revenue). Its days are:

  • DSO: 45 days
  • Inventory: 40 days of raw materials, 10 days of WIP, 30 days of finished goods, 80 days in total
  • DPO: 35 days

Daily revenue is $12,000,000 / 365 = $32,877 and daily cost of goods sold is $8,400,000 / 365 = $23,014.

ComponentCalculationAmount
Receivables$32,877 × 45$1,479,452
Inventory$23,014 × 80$1,841,096
Payables$23,014 × 35-$805,479
Net working capital$2,515,069

The cash conversion cycle is 45 + 80 - 35 = 90 days. Net working capital is about 21 percent of revenue, so every $1 million of added revenue needs roughly $210,000 of funding if the days do not change. See the cash conversion cycle and how much working capital your business needs.

What shortening the cycle is worth

ActionChangeCash released
Reduce raw material cover from 40 to 34 days6 days × $23,014$138,082
Reduce finished goods from 30 to 26 days4 days × $23,014$92,055
Collect 3 days faster3 days × $32,877$98,630
Total$328,767

That is cash that does not need to be borrowed, and none of it requires a price increase or a cost cut. See working capital optimization.

Measure the three inventories separately

A single inventory number hides where cash is stuck.

TypeWhat drives itTypical improvement levers
Raw materialsSupplier lead times, minimum order quantities, safety stockBetter supplier delivery reliability, consignment or vendor-managed stock, tighter ordering rules
Work in processBatch sizes, queue times, bottlenecks, changeoversSmaller batches, shorter changeovers, better scheduling, clearing bottlenecks
Finished goodsForecast accuracy, order patterns, production-to-forecast policyBuild-to-order where practical, better demand planning, safety stock set by variability

Track days of cover for each, by item or family, and review the oldest and slowest. Items without movement for 90 or 180 days deserve a plan.

Minimum order quantities and lot sizes

Suppliers and your own production runs often force you to buy or make more than you need at once. The question is whether the discount or efficiency justifies the extra cash tied up.

Worked example

A component costs $20 per unit and you use 4,000 a month (48,000 a year, or $960,000 of spend). A supplier offers a 3 percent discount if you buy lots of 12,000 units, a three-month supply, rather than monthly lots of 4,000.

  • Annual saving from the discount = 3% × $960,000 = $28,800
  • Average inventory with monthly buying = 2,000 units × $20 = $40,000
  • Average inventory with quarterly buying = 6,000 units × $20 = $120,000
  • Extra inventory tied up = $80,000
  • Carrying cost at 12 percent a year = 12% × $80,000 = $9,600

The net benefit is $28,800 - $9,600 = $19,200, before allowing for storage, handling, insurance and the risk of obsolescence. It looks worthwhile, but it also needs $80,000 more cash on average and $240,000 at the moment each lot is paid. If the business cannot fund that without borrowing at a higher rate, or if the component might be redesigned within the year, the discount may not be worth taking. Run the test with your own carrying cost, which should include the cost of capital, storage and risk.

Lead times, safety stock and forecast accuracy

Long supplier lead times force you to commit to purchases before you know demand. The larger the forecast error over the lead time, the more safety stock you need, and every unit of safety stock is cash. Improving forecast accuracy and reducing lead-time variability both lower the stock required for the same service level. See how to measure and improve cash forecast accuracy for the cash side, and demand planning and inventory optimization for the planning side.

Customer deposits and progress billing

For made-to-order or long-lead products, negotiate cash earlier.

MethodHow it helps
Deposit at orderFunds materials purchases
Progress billingInvoices at milestones, such as material receipt, completion of fabrication and shipment
Shorter terms for custom workThe product is hard to resell if the customer defaults
Letters of credit (where applicable)Reduce payment risk for export orders

A $400,000 custom order with a 30 percent deposit brings in $120,000 before material is bought. Without it, you fund that amount yourself for the whole production time plus the customer's payment terms.

Capital spending and maintenance

Equipment purchases can wipe out a year's operating cash. Plan them in the 12-month forecast, compare financing with cash purchase and test whether the spending improves throughput, quality or cost enough to justify the cash. Deferred maintenance creates a hidden liability: a breakdown can halt production and delay cash collection. Include a maintenance reserve in the forecast.

Forecasting cash in a plant

Build the 13-week forecast from the production schedule and open orders.

LineDriver
Customer receiptsShipments, terms and observed payment behavior. See days sales outstanding
Material paymentsPurchase orders by delivery date and supplier terms
Labor and overheadProduction plan, shifts and overtime
FreightInbound and outbound shipments
Capital itemsApproved equipment and tooling purchases
Taxes and debt serviceScheduled payments

Then run scenarios: a key customer pays 20 days late, a raw material price rises, or a bottleneck delays shipments by two weeks. See cash flow scenario planning.

Financing options

NeedPossible tool
Seasonal or growth working capitalRevolving line of credit. See revolving line of credit vs. term loan
Raw material and finished goods buildInventory financing or an asset-based facility. See asset-based lending
EquipmentTerm loan or equipment financing
Faster cash on receivablesInvoice financing. See invoice factoring vs. invoice financing
Supplier supportLonger terms or supply chain finance. See supply chain finance

Lenders will test inventory valuation, aging, margins and your reporting discipline. See how lenders evaluate your cash flow and working capital.

Manufacturing cash dashboard

Track weekly:

  • Cash balance and 13-week low point
  • Days of raw materials, WIP and finished goods
  • Slow and obsolete stock value
  • DSO and past-due receivables
  • Open purchase commitments by payment date
  • On-time delivery and production schedule adherence
  • Capital spending against plan

Common mistakes

  • Producing to the plan without checking cash.
  • Treating the discount for large lots as free.
  • Letting WIP grow because of bottlenecks.
  • Carrying slow-moving finished goods and old materials.
  • Not negotiating deposits on custom work.
  • Under-planning for equipment and maintenance cash.
  • Disconnecting the production plan from the cash forecast.

For a company that sells goods but does not make them, see cash flow management for wholesalers and distributors. For the services contrast, where the product is people's time, see cash flow management for consulting and professional services firms. Another model with prepayment dynamics is cash flow management for SaaS.

FAQs

Why do manufacturers have cash flow problems?

Cash is committed to materials, labor and overhead long before customers pay, so growth and long lead times tie up large amounts of working capital.

How can a manufacturer improve cash flow?

Shorten the cash conversion cycle by cutting raw material and finished goods days, speeding up collections, negotiating deposits and supplier terms, and aligning production with demand.

How do minimum order quantities affect cash?

They force larger purchases, which increases inventory and cash tied up. Compare the discount with the carrying cost and the risk of obsolescence before agreeing.

Should a manufacturer finance inventory?

Sometimes. Inventory financing or an asset-based facility can fund a build, but first try to reduce the stock you need through better planning.

What is the cash conversion cycle for a manufacturer?

Days of receivables plus days of inventory (raw materials, WIP and finished goods) minus days of payables. In the example, 90 days.

This article is for general information. It is not accounting, tax, legal or investment advice, and examples use illustrative numbers rather than client data. Confirm decisions that carry financial or legal consequences with a qualified professional.

Better forecasts. Healthier inventory. More working capital.

Newtown Analytics advises growing consumer-product companies on demand planning and inventory optimization.